The majority of the sports world is in a holding pattern, but there are still betting options.

Caesars Sportsbook released its win totals for all 32 NFL teams, providing an opportunity to get a head start on the upcoming season.

Our experts -- Doug Kezirian, Preston Johnson, Joe Fortenbaugh, Mike Clay and Anita Marks -- offer their best bets on the numbers they like as well as some playoff picks.

Over/under win totals

Season win totals are very straightforward. You’re just betting on how many games you think a team will win during the course of a season, and you don’t even have to pick an exact total. Bookmakers and betting sites set a line, and you have to decide whether you think a team’s final total will be over or under that line. Super Bowl futures have been out for a while, and now sportsbooks are starting to open up win totals for the 2020 season. Now can be a great time to get down on some of these totals before oddsmakers catch up to potential edges that can be exploited. With that in mind, let’s take a look at two of the best NFC win total bets available right now.

New England Patriots under 8.5 wins

Fortenbaugh: Of the 12 regular-season games New England won in 2019, only three came against teams with a winning record (Buffalo twice, Philadelphia). The other nine victories were earned courtesy of eight franchises that finished last season with a combined record of 43-85 (.335). All this despite the fact that the Tom Brady-led Patriots ranked first in the NFL in turnover differential (+21), first in total defense (275.9 YPG) and first in scoring defense (14.1 PPG).

Well, the calendar now reads 2020, Brady is in Tampa and there's virtually no chance that New England leads the league in turnover differential and/or defense this season. Furthermore, I'd expect a tougher level of competition as well. Congratulations to the Bills, Dolphins and Jets. The AFC East is now winnable for the first time in two decades.

Marks: The Patriots under 8.5 wins is my second-favorite play (Buffalo over 9 is my top pick). With all due respect to Bill Belichick, don't underestimate the loss of Brady; they were a package deal.

I'm a fan of Jarrett Stidham and believe he will be a good starter in the league -- assuming reports that he will start are true -- but this will be a developmental year. The Pats also lost a number of defensive players who joined their former defensive coordinators (now head coaches) in Detroit and Miami.

New England has one of the most difficult schedules this season, and don't sleep on the Dolphins or Jets. This is a 'push the reset button' year for New England, as difficult as that may be for Pats fans to accept.

Dallas Cowboys over 9.5 wins

Johnson: I would be remiss not to admit that my Cowboys season wins under bet a year ago benefited from some good fortune. Dallas outscored its opponents by 113 points, which was the third-largest point differential in the NFC behind the 49ers (+169) and the Saints (+117). Two of that trio I think most would admit were the clear-cut favorites to come out of the NFC, and the other didn't even make the playoffs.

The Cowboys finished 8-8, but it wasn't without seeing serious improvements under first-year offensive coordinator Kellen Moore on offense. Dallas averaged 6.5 yards per play, which led the NFL (the next best were Kansas City at 6.2 and Baltimore at 6.1, for context). In the passing game in particular, Dak Prescott finished top five in yards per pass attempt after finishing 18th and 21st the two seasons prior. Moore remains on the coaching staff despite Mike McCarthy stepping in for Jason Garrett, and as mundane as we all felt McCarthy got in Green Bay, I'm confident he's an upgrade over Garrett.

I currently project the Cowboys to have the 10th-easiest schedule in the NFL, and at the price of +100 to win 10 or more games, it's worth grabbing now. There won't be a lack of Dallas money in the futures market, so when I like an over on a public-heavy team, I prefer to grab it earlier rather than later.

Denver Broncos over 7.5 wins

Kezirian: I faded and criticized Drew Lock often at Missouri, but he seems to be a good fit in Denver. After starting 0-4 last season, the Broncos eventually punted on Joe Flacco, and Lock posted a 4-1 mark as a starter to close the season.

All signs point to the Broncos adding an impact wide receiver in the draft, and this team should be a sneaky candidate to make the playoffs. We all know the mile-high altitude and strong defense give the Broncos a home edge, and now head coach Vic Fangio has a full season under his belt.

Washington Redskins over 4.5 wins

Kezirian: This requires a strong stomach, but it feels like the right side. A lot of my hopes hinge on Kyle Allen starting over Dwayne Haskins, who needs more game experience. Ron Rivera should also stabilize the franchise and set a tone for a healthy culture that ultimately leads to victories.

Washington is expected to draft Ohio State defensive end Chase Young, whom many consider already ready to impact the NFL. The team lacks offensive playmakers, but the schedule is favorable. The Giants, Bengals, Panthers, Cardinals and Lions all present opportunities for wins, and the defense should give them other chances.

Buffalo Bills under 9 wins

Kezirian: Before Bills Mafia searches for my home address, I'd like to remind them that I touted Buffalo +500 to make the playoffs last spring. I am a big fan of head coach Sean McDermott and that defense, especially with the offseason acquisitions.

However, the schedule makes double-digit wins a challenge. A single victory over any of the four NFC West teams will be difficult, given Buffalo must travel to Arizona, and even the AFC West slate poses more trouble than pleasure. Within the AFC East, a win over New England is now more doable without Brady, but I also see the Jets and Dolphins as candidates to improve significantly. I'm also on the Bills missing the playoffs (+175).

Johnson: Buffalo traded for Stefon Diggs and Tom Brady took his talents to Tampa Bay, and now it seems like the whole world loves the Bills in 2020. I'm not in that camp. They shift from one of the easiest schedules in the NFL last season to one of the toughest (they face the AFC West and NFC West now out of the division). They missed the fourth-fewest starts as a team in 2019, and when adjusting for the actual quality of those missed starts, the Bills were the healthiest team in the NFL by a fairly big margin last season.

All things point to regression from a health perspective as well as a few other luck factors, like fumbles lost per game (they fumbled 1.5 times per game on average last season yet lost only 0.5 per game; the stat tends to regress toward 50-50, historically).

With actual expectations set for Josh Allen now against a much more difficult schedule, I'm not sure I can give him my trust. The 2019 version of Buffalo has a lot of 2017 Jaguars and 2018 Bears in it, and this isn't a good thing looking toward the 2020 season. I also like Buffalo at +175 to miss the playoffs.

Over

Marks: My favorite over/under win total this season is the Bills over 9 wins. Talk about a perfect storm brewing for Buffalo. Brady takes his talent to the NFC South, leaving the Patriots without a legit field general. Allen enters his third season sporting an improved arsenal with the addition of Stefon Diggs. The Bills' dominant defense improved as well in free agency with the additions of Quinton Jefferson, Vernon Butler and Mario Addison.

Buffalo had one of the healthiest teams last season, but if that is not a repeat performance this season, the Bills have the depth to lock and reload. Not to mention the Bills have a favorable schedule, where the most difficult opponents are home games against the Chiefs, Seahawks and Rams.

Baltimore Ravens over 12 wins

Kezirian: With the coronavirus pandemic significantly disrupting this offseason, I firmly believe continuity will play a major role. John Harbaugh is as solid as they come, and I expect the Ravens to maintain that dominant offense with the versatile Lamar Jackson leading the way.

Outside of the division, Baltimore faces the NFC East and AFC South, which does not concern me. I also think preparing for Jackson requires a particular focus and preparation that teams rarely demonstrate in the regular season; the playoffs are a different story. With stud kicker Justin Tucker providing a valuable edge in close games, Baltimore should flirt with the conference's top seed. I would love this play at 11.5 but will still lean on the number at 12.

Chicago Bears under 8.5 wins

Clay: I have Chicago projected for 6.1 wins, so you can imagine my reaction when I saw under 8.5 available at even money. The 2.4 gap between the projection and line is the largest I have on the books over the past five seasons. In fact, the only previous situations in which the gap was above 2.0 were the 2016 Rams (under 7.5 -- hit) and the 2018 Browns (over 5.5 -- hit). For what it's worth, bets in which my projection is at least 1.0 game off the line have a 15-7-2 hit rate (67%) since 2016.

So, why the low projection? For starters, the Bears do not have a good quarterback. Mitchell Trubisky has been one of the league's least efficient passers since entering the league, and Nick Foles has struggled aside from the occasional stretch with Philadelphia. As a whole, Chicago's offense is one of the league's worst on paper, which isn't exactly bold considering it ranked 29th in yards and points last season and its only impact offseason additions were Foles and 33-year-old Jimmy Graham. The Chicago defense is still good, but it's no longer the dominant unit of 2018 after crashing back to earth in most categories last season.

The Bears have gone over eight wins once over the past seven seasons and, though they got close at 8-8 last season, their only win against a team with a winning record (that wasn't resting players) was an early-season home win against Minnesota.

Over

Fortenbaugh: Imagine an NFL franchise winning eight games in 2019 despite a quarterback who:

• A. Threw fewer TD passes than a guy who missed three contests with mono.
• B. Threw more interceptions than Josh Allen.
• C. Averaged fewer passing yards per game than Daniel Jones.
• D. Recorded a lower completion percentage than Case Keenum.
• E. Posted a lower passer rating than Joe Flacco, who was cut this offseason.
• F. Averaged fewer yards per attempt passing than everybody in the league.

I'm not saying Foles is going to light Michigan Avenue on fire, but league-average quarterback play with this defense should be enough to score nine victories in 2020.

Seattle Seahawks under 9.5 wins

Fortenbaugh: You could make a strong case that Seattle caught more breaks last season than any team in the NFL en route to producing the league's seventh-best record (11-5) despite the 14th-best scoring differential (+7).

Speaking of scoring differential, a +7 mark over 16 games is more indicative of an 8-win team than an 11-win team, so we should expect some regression in 2020 from an outfit that went an astounding 10-2 in one-score contests (games decided by 8 or fewer points) with a +12 turnover differential (T-3rd in NFL).

Indianapolis Colts over 8.5 wins

Johnson: In 2018 before Andrew Luck's sudden retirement, the Colts won 10 games and a road wild-card matchup over the Texans. More impressive was Frank Reich getting seven wins on the fly without Luck in 2019 with Jacoby Brissett and Brian Hoyer under center. Reich is one of my favorite coaches in the NFL, and acquiring a competent veteran quarterback in Philip Rivers certainly warrants an early look on Indy.

The Colts bolstered their defense with the acquisition of DeForest Buckner and project to have the easiest schedule in the NFL. Every other team in the AFC South looks to take a step back, and I'd be surprised if this win total wasn't nine later this summer, so I'm grabbing the 8.5 early.

Clay: You had to feel for the Colts a bit last season after they were blindsided by Luck's August retirement and then forced to start Brissett and Hoyer. The roster was otherwise solid and helped Indianapolis to a 7-9 record with quality wins against the Titans, Chiefs and Texans.

Looking forward, GM Chris Ballard had another strong offseason, upgrading at quarterback with Rivers, re-signing star LT Anthony Castonzo and trading for arguably the NFC champion 49ers' best player in Buckner. The Colts have compiled what is arguably a top-five defense with no clear weak spots, as well as an elite offensive line.

Per my metrics, Indianapolis will enjoy the league's easiest schedule this season, with the rest of the AFC South likely to see a decline and with matchups against the AFC and NFC North on the books. A lot is riding on 38-year-old Rivers, but even a solid campaign should be enough to allow this roster nine wins and the division title. I don't love the juice (-120), but with a 9.6 projection, I feel good about the over.

Marks: I'm very hesitant to wager on new gunslingers or new head coaches this season due to the preparation obstacles the coronavirus pandemic is presenting, but given the fact that Rivers has previously spent three years with Reich, five years with Colts OC Nick Sirianni and knows at least 80% of the Colts' offensive playbook, I feel OK with this one. Rivers goes from playing behind one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL to one of the best. And with a stacked Colts defense, I'm banking on Ballard grabbing an elite wide receiver with the 34th pick to work opposite T.Y. Hilton. If USC wide receiver Michael Pittman Jr. falls to the Colts, oh boy, watch out!

Cincinnati Bengals over 5 wins

Clay: The early line on Cincinnati is 5, which is bit surprising for a team that won two games in 2019 but had six-plus wins each of the previous eight seasons. Of course, all that matters is the season in front of us, and this Bengals roster is much better than it was in 2019, especially on defense. Unlike last offseason's pathetic effort, Cincinnati was very aggressive during free agency, revamping its secondary with Trae Waynes, Mackensie Alexander and Vonn Bell, while also adding star DT D.J. Reader and underrated LB Josh Bynes.

The offense is a bigger question mark, but 2019 first-round pick LT Jonah Williams and A.J. Green will both return after missing all of last season. The line remains a problem overall, but the skill positions are in good shape aside from perhaps the most important one: quarterback. Cincinnati is expected to select Joe Burrow with the first pick of April's draft. Burrow will immediately start, barring disaster, and we don't know for sure how he'll adjust to the pros. That makes this one risky, but the improved roster around the quarterback should still keep the Bengals competitive and in the mix to hit their projected win total of 6.4.

Others to consider

Clay: Lions over 6.5, Giants over 5.5, Steelers over 9, Ravens under 12

Marks: Raiders over 7, Buccaneers under 9, Seahawks over 9.5

Fortenbaugh: Bills under 9, Chargers under 8.5, Colts over 8.5

Playoffs yes/no

Yes, San Francisco 49ers make playoffs (-325)

Kezirian: I respect the Super Bowl hangover. But this is all about making the playoffs, rather than winning the division or even advancing in the postseason. Given the new postseason format, are three non-division winners really going to finish with a better record? Remember, this San Francisco team was incredibly dominant at full strength in 2019. The injuries mounted on defense in the middle of the season, and stud tight end George Kittle also missed some time. On top of that, within the division, I expect both the Rams and Seahawks to regress.

Los Angeles has issues on offense, largely due to a wildly inconsistent Jared Goff. Seattle inexplicably went 7-1 on the road last year and outscored opponents by only seven total points in an 11-5 season. That cannot continue.

Yes, Tampa Bay Buccaneers make playoffs (-155)

Kezirian: Tom Brady is the storyline and for good reason. The six-time Super Bowl champ brings a wealth of experience that I think will have a positive impact on a locker room desperate for a winning culture. I firmly believe Brady's impact will be felt in ways beyond the QB position.

However, this roster also has plenty of talent. Even at 43 years old, Brady will thrive with an arsenal of receivers, led by Mike Evans, and he will also benefit from strong tight end play. While Jameis Winston was impressive at times last season, he also led the NFL with 30 interceptions. Brady's sound decision-making will be critical in a league that has a slim margin of error. Plus, the defense is better than people realize.

I think Brady and Bruce Arians have enough for a playoff berth to nab one of three NFC wild cards. A -155 price translates to 58.5%, and I think Tampa's playoff chances are higher.

No, Green Bay Packers do not make playoffs (+120)

Fortenbaugh: With the possible exception of the Seahawks, no team found itself on the jubilant side of luck more often last season than the Packers, who posted the league's second-best record at 13-3 despite the ninth-best scoring differential (+63).

A further descent down the rabbit hole reveals an 8-1 record in one-score games as well as a +12 turnover differential (T-3rd), two strong indicators that regression is on the horizon. Given the overall strength of the NFC, anything on the plus money side of the ledger will have me betting 'No' on the Packers to qualify for the postseason.

No, Patriots do not make playoffs (+170)

Fortenbaugh: Forget about the loss of Tom Brady for a second and, instead, focus on the absurd fact that the Patriots defeated just two teams with a winning record on their way to a 12-4 campaign last season (Buffalo twice, Philadelphia). This, despite concluding the year ranked first in the league in turnover differential, first in total defense and first in scoring defense. Now go ahead and remove the greatest quarterback who ever played the game from the equation and tell me just how confident you are in laying -190 on the 'Yes' option here.

Others to consider

Nfl How To Bet

Fortenbaugh: Colts Yes (-145), Titans No (+120)

This article appeared in the 2019 Doc's Sports Journal .

In martial arts, the term 'kuzushi' refers to the act of defeating an opponent by using your their momentum against them to put them in a compromising position.

The sportsbooks are the mortal enemy of bettors. And NFL futures betting, specifically Las Vegas season win totals, offers the perfect opportunity to use the books' own skill and momentum against them.

Every year Las Vegas and offshore sportsbooks release NFL season win total over/under numbers for each team. These initial numbers usually come out in April, they get tweaked after the draft and during the summer, and then solidify in once the preseason games begin.

These NFL season win total numbers rely on equal parts statistics and perception. Oddsmakers are surgically skillful at turning misperceptions about players and teams against the general public. The books have a great grasp on the underlying statistics that dictate NFL performance while also possessing a deft understanding of how the public wagers. Not only do they excel at directing action, but they also put out really strong numbers.

Over the last 15 years, the average team comes within 2.5 wins of its Vegas season win total. The season win total numbers pretty closely follow normal distribution with a standard deviation around 2.1 wins. Without getting too far into the weeds of sophomore algebra, that means nearly 70 percent of all NFL teams fall within a couple of wins of their season win total and around 95 percent of all teams finish the season within four wins of their Las Vegas number.

So if a team has a Vegas season win total of 7.0 that means they have a 70 percent chance of finishing with between 5-9 victories and about 95 percent of the time they will finish the season with between 3-11 wins.

When you think about it, eight games is a pretty big cushion! Las Vegas doesn't miss very big very often when it comes to projecting these NFL season win totals. Most teams finish within that eight-game margin. But what about the teams that finish that finish outside of it? What about those outliers on the bell curve? Can we glean and information from these teams that we can then use that to our advantage the following season?

The answer is yes. And this is where we can use the books' momentum against them.

The idea is simple: we focus on the teams that are the biggest outliers against their Vegas season win totals. Then, using some simple regression analysis, we bet on or against these teams versus their Vegas season win total the following year.

Best Nfl Win Total Bets

Since the start of the 2004 season there have been 95 teams that have finished four or more games over or under their Las Vegas season win totals. In the last 10 years there have been 60 such teams. This group represents our statistical 'overachievers' and 'underachievers'.

Over the last 15 years 45 teams beat their Vegas season win total by four or more games. These overachievers went just 16-29 (35.6 percent) against their season win total the following season. Over the last 10 years overachieving teams have gone 12-17 against their season win total the following year. If you had bet $1,200 to win $1,000 on the 'under' for all of these teams, which assumes an average juice of -120, then you would've hit 64.4 percent of your wagers and won roughly $10,000.

An example of this concept in action is the 2015-2016 Carolina Panthers. In 2015 the Panthers went 15-1 and obliterated their 8.5 Vegas season win total by 6.5 games en route to winning the NFC championship. Naturally, heading into the 2016 season the books jacked up Carolina's season win total to 10.5. They flopped, going 6-10 and easily cashing for the 'under'.

Since 2004, there have been 49 teams that have finished four or more games below their Vegas season win total. This group of underachievers has gone 32-17 against their Vegas season win total the next year. Over the past 10 years, our underachievers have gone 19-12 against their Vegas season win total the following season. For all 49 teams, someone betting 'over' would've cashed 65.3 percent of their wagers while banking nearly $12,000.

An example of these underachievers rebounding is Indianapolis in 2017 and 2018. In 2017 the Colts dealt with a slew of injuries and bumbled their way to a 4-12 season, coming up 4.5 games short of their 8.5 Vegas season win total. Last year the books lowered their preseason expectations, posting a 7.5 season win total. The Colts bounced back with a 10-6 campaign and easily surged 'over' the total.

Nfl Bets For Today

I know this all seems very basic. And it is. But this system is not only rooted in common sense, it also has some pretty sound intuitive aspects behind it. Teams that 'come out of nowhere' and have a big year that no one - not even Las Vegas bookmakers - saw coming usually have a positive confluence of events. They avoid injuries, they benefit from turnovers, maybe they have an easy schedule, and they generally get some lucky bounces and fluke calls that help them win close games. Usually these overachievers make the playoffs. The following offseason the public overvalues these teams, the books shade the numbers higher, and the following year basic statistical regression takes hold to help drag these clubs back to earth.

The flip side is also true and NFL organizations have shown a tremendous ability to bounce back from horrendous seasons. The public looks at teams that win just three or four games and usually ignores the contributing factors and extenuating circumstances. It is easier to just assume these teams suck! The result is lowered expectations the following season and thus a ripe betting opportunity.

The numbers speak for themselves. Someone following my system - betting the 'under' against teams that beat their Vegas win total by 4.0 or more the previous season and betting 'over' on teams that short their Vegas season win total by 4.0 or more the previous year -would've banked somewhere in the neighborhood of $22,000 while hitting 63 percent of their bets over a 15-year period. That profit represents a tremendous 20.4 percent return on investment.

So who are the teams that we should be focused in on this year?

Last year's biggest overachiever was the Chicago Bears. They went 12-4 against a Vegas season win total of 7.5, meaning they beat their mark by 4.5 games. The Bears enter the 2019 season with a Vegas season win total of 9.0. They aren't going to sneak up on anyone this year, though. And this organization has only won 10 or more games in back-to-back seasons one time in the past 25 years (2005-06).

There are several significant underachievers from last year that could be primed for big bounce back seasons in 2019. Oakland (-4.5), San Francisco (-4.5), Green Bay (-4.0) and Jacksonville (-4.0) all fit our criteria and are squads that we should be looking to bet 'over' their season win totals.

Naturally, all four head into this fall with Vegas season win total numbers that are lower than what they were up against last season. Last May the Raiders opened at 9.5 and were down to 7.5 by Week 1. This year their number is just 6.0. Jacksonville, fresh off an AFC Championship Game appearance, entered last year with a 9.0 season win total. This year, with new quarterback Nick Foles, they are at 8.0. Green Bay, despite a new coach and revitalized roster, heads into 2019 with a 9.0 Vegas season win total after starting last year at 10.0.

Finally, last year San Francisco was everyone's preseason sleeper team and entered August with a win total set at 8.5. This season they have about 200 percent less fan fare and hype and their season win total has dropped to 8.0.

Futures odds are set based on a blend of statistics and public opinion. The public is usually ill informed, unsophisticated and reactionary. We can use that to our advantage. Conversely, sportsbooks are analytical and ruthlessly efficient. And we can use that against them by focusing on their failures and using that as a road map to future success.

Another Japanese martial arts term is 'budo'. This means a way of life with a focus of self-improvement, personal growth and fulfillment. Well, by following my simple, effective system for betting NFL futures you can show improvement with your wagers, personally grow your bankroll, and achieve fulfillment by knowing that are beating the sportsbooks with their own help.

Carpe diem, my friend. And good luck.

Robert Ferringo has been the top football handicapper in the country the past nine years, earning nearly $40,000 in total football profit (average profit: +$4,400). He has also posted 7 of 9 winning seasons (including three straight winning years) and produced an amazing 50 of 76 winning football months over the past 12 years. Robert has eight of 10 winning NFL preseasons and he is at nearly 60 percent winners over his last 1,000 totals picks. Also, Robert's proprietary KING College Football Betting System has posted three of five winning seasons. Robert is looking for a fourth straight winning football year and wants more profit this fall. SIGN UP HERE TODAY AND TAKE ADVANTAGE OF OUR 3-FOR-1 FOOTBALL SPECIALS!

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